Elo rankings for international baseball

In this article, we present a predictive power ranking of national baseball teams based on the Elo rating system. This system objectively measures teams’ relative strength based on past performance, strength of schedule, run differential, and the event importance. To our knowledge, this system is unique: although the International Baseball Federation (IBAF) releases yearly rankings of national baseball teams based on performance in international competitions, this ranking includes results across multiple age levels and is not designed to predict future results.

Read the rest at Beyond the Box Score

Presented at 2014 Saberseminar

  • Longer version (PDF format)
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